On-Neck Pattern: Failed Bull Attempt Signals Downtrend Continues

Two-Candle Bearish Setup
 

Day 1: Long red candle in established downtrend. Day 2: Small green candle opens lower, attempts rally but closes AT or slightly above Day 1's low. Bulls fail, bears resume control immediately

Pattern Psychology
 

Day 1 shows strong selling pressure. Day 2 gap-down triggers short covering, bargain hunting. Bulls push higher but exhaust near Day 1 low, cannot break resistance. Weak close proves bears still dominant. Downtrend resumes next session

Critical Identification

Day 2 MUST close at or marginally above Day 1 low (within 1-2 ticks), if substantially higher, pattern invalid. Small Day 2 body shows weak buying conviction. Gap down on Day 3 confirms continuation strongly

Trading Strategy

Enter short at Day 2 close or Day 3 open, don't wait for further confirmation. Stop-loss above Day 2 high (failed rally point). Target minimum: distance equal to Day 1 length below entry point

Moderate Reliability Signal
 

Success rate 60-65%, moderate compared to other continuation patterns. Works best in strong established downtrends, NOT choppy markets. Volume declining on Day 2 validates weak buying pressure. Similar to In-Neck pattern but slightly less bearish

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